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Zimbabwe Records ZWG3.3 Billion Budget Surplus Despite Low Half-Year Spending

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Although only 35% of the 2025 National Budget had been utilized halfway through the year, Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube reported a budget surplus of ZWG3.3 billion in his Mid-Year Budget Review Statement.

Delivering the review under the theme “Building Resilience for Sustained Economic Transformation”, Ncube acknowledged ongoing concerns that government funds are often not released or used efficiently.

“From January to June 2025, government expenditure reached ZWG98 billion—roughly 35.5% of the full-year approved budget,” he said. “Of this, recurrent expenses totaled ZWG74.4 billion, while capital spending and net lending accounted for ZWG23.6 billion.”

The breakdown of spending revealed that ZWG45.4 billion went toward wages, ZWG18.8 billion covered operations, interest payments stood at a relatively low ZWG2.5 billion, and capital projects including devolution took up ZWG23.6 billion—highlighting limited investment in infrastructure.

Speaking to reporters after the presentation, Ncube attributed the low expenditure rate to slow disbursements, particularly in the early months of the year.

“Ministries often delay submitting the necessary documentation, and revenue inflows tend to be sluggish in the first quarter. These factors contribute to the low expenditure rate,” he explained, adding that the government is exploring ways to improve spending efficiency going forward.

He also noted that in the first half of 2025, Treasury raised ZWG1.3 billion for budgetary support, including US$90 million through the sale of domestic Treasury Bills.

In U.S. dollar terms, the fiscal framework shows total revenues of US$7.5 billion against expenditures of US$7.7 billion, resulting in a deficit of about US$168.4 million.

Ncube highlighted that the local currency, inflation, and exchange rate remained more stable than expected during this period. While budget performance in local currency terms lagged targets, it surpassed expectations in U.S. dollar terms.

Between January and June, revenue collections reached ZWG101.2 billion—below the ZWG118.1 billion target—while spending amounted to ZWG98 billion, falling short of the ZWG127.5 billion projection.

Overall, the government achieved a ZWG3.3 billion surplus on a cash accounting basis for the first half of the year.

Looking ahead, Ncube said the government would accelerate structural reforms in the second half of the year, with a focus on streamlining business processes and eliminating redundant licensing fees.

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Zimbabwe Fertiliser Industry Set for Major Growth Under NDS2

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Zimbabwe’s fertiliser industry is set for strong growth under the National Development Strategy 2 (NDS2), as new investments aim to boost local production and reduce imports.

A key project is a US$200 million fertiliser plant by Xintai, operating through Palm River Resources, to be built in Beitbridge. Construction is expected to start in June 2026, with production beginning in February 2027.

The plant will produce 200,000 tonnes of urea and 200,000 tonnes of ammonium nitrate each year. It will also generate its own electricity and reuse gas emissions for power, helping to lower costs.

In addition, the government is supporting a larger US$3 billion fertiliser and chemicals project by Jinfeng. This project will include a 900MW power plant and aims to turn Zimbabwe into a regional fertiliser exporter.

These developments are expected to reduce the country’s reliance on imported fertiliser, save foreign currency, and make inputs more affordable for farmers.

They will also help turn Beitbridge into an important industrial hub, supporting Zimbabwe’s goal of growing its economy and improving food production.

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SME QUANTUM LEAP: FISCAL HAWKS ANCHOR 5% GROWTH AS FORMALIZATION SURGE CRUSHES Q1 2025 VOLATILITY

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The Zimbabwean Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) sector underwent a period of rigorous fiscal recalibration in the first quarter of 2026, pivoting from the liquidity-constrained and informal-leaning environment of the previous year.

While the first quarter of 2025 was marked by the initial friction of the Zimbabwe Gold (ZiG) introduction and a defensive posture by small-scale operators, the current quarter saw the sector move toward deeper integration into the formal value chain, underpinned by a projected 5.0% real GDP growth for the fiscal year.

In the first quarter of 2025, the informal sector’s dominance was reflected in a high velocity of transactions outside the traditional banking net, even as the Zimbabwe Revenue Authority (ZIMRA) achieved net collections of US$3.21 billion by the mid-year mark.

By contrast, the first quarter of 2026 reflected the tangible success of the Block Management System and the downward revision of the Intermediated Money Transfer Tax (IMTT) from 2% to 1.5%.

These policy shifts incentivized formal banking activity among SMEs, resulting in a notable uptick in ZiG-denominated transactions and a reduction in the parallel market premium, which had previously eroded the working capital of small-scale manufacturers by an estimated 15.3% in early 2025.

The performance of SMEs in the extractive and agricultural sectors provided the most striking numerical contrast. During the first quarter of 2025, the mining sector largely driven by small-scale gold and lithium miners suffered a 21.57% slump due to global price volatility and domestic energy constraints.

However, by the first quarter of 2026, the sector benefited from revised gold royalties and the commissioning of decentralized lithium processing plants, allowing SME output to stabilize in line with the government’s 6.3% mining growth target.

Similarly, the agricultural SME sub-sector, which had struggled with a drought-induced contraction in 2024, leveraged the momentum of a 6.6% rebound in late 2025 to achieve a projected 5.4% expansion this quarter, supported by improved climate-smart irrigation financing.

Financial inclusion and capital access for enterprises also witnessed structural evolution. In the first quarter of 2025, the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) All Share Index had retreated by 5.67%, and credit to the private sector remained heavily skewed toward large-scale blue-chip corporations.

The opening phase of 2026, however, saw increased participation of high-growth SMEs on the Victoria Falls Stock Exchange (VFEX) and within specialized SME funding windows.

With annual inflation trending toward a single-digit forecast and the VAT rate adjusted to 15.5% as of January 1, 2026, the cost-push pressures that had crippled many boutique manufacturing units in the previous year were partially mitigated by a more predictable price discovery mechanism.

This aggregate stabilization suggests that the SME sector has successfully transitioned from a survivalist mode into a strategic component of the nation’s broader industrialization agenda.

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Breaking News : Mutapa assets hit USD 16.5 billion

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Mutapa Fund injects USD153m to revive fertiliser industry

The Mutapa Investment Fund (MIF), has grown its asset base to USD 16.5 billion, consolidating its position as one of Africa’s largest sovereign wealth funds and signalling a major step in the country’s efforts to build and preserve national wealth.

Presenting the Fund’s audited financial results for the year ended 31 December 2025, Chief Executive officer Dr John Mangudya said the milestone reflects the rapid consolidation of Government-owned commercial assets under a single investment vehicle and the strengthening of valuation and governance frameworks since the Fund’s operationalisation.

The growth shows the increasing strategic importance of MIF as a central pillar in Zimbabwe’s economic transformation agenda, with the Fund now playing a key role in managing State assets, attracting investment and driving long-term value creation.

“We have seen significant value growth in our mining portfolio as a result of the increased commodity prices.

“Another driver for the valuation gains was the value of land and buildings.

“The valuation of assets is central to our mandate as a custodian of national wealth, and this outcome reflects the maturation of the comprehensive valuation framework established by the Fund following its establishment in September 2023.

“Total assets closed the year at a value of US$16.5 billion from the US$14.9 billion position in 2024, strengthened by our core investment in subsidiaries amounting to US$16.2 billion and supported by an expanded loan book and growing marketable securities portfolio,” said Dr Mangudya.

During the year under review, the Fund focused on consolidating its operations and strengthening institutional systems under its FIRE (Fix, Invigorate, Reinforce and Extract) strategy, which is aligned with the National Development Strategy 2 and Vision 2030.

At a financial level, MIF recorded a surplus after tax of USD 21.7 million, a significant improvement from USD 3.6 million in 2024, supported by dividend income of USD 23.3 million and management and advisory fees of US$26. 6 million from investee companies.

Total comprehensive income rose sharply to USD 1. 4 billion, largely driven by fair value gains across the Fund’s asset portfolio.

The gains were mainly attributed to stronger global commodity prices, which boosted the valuation of mining assets, as well as increased valuations of land and buildings within the portfolio.

Funds and reserves increased to USD 15. 2 billion, reflecting a stronger capital base that enhances the Fund’s capacity to finance future investments and absorb potential shocks.

Dr Mangudya said 2025 marked a transition from initial diagnostic assessments to structured interventions across the Fund’s portfolio, with emphasis placed on improving governance, stabilising operations and preserving asset value.

MIF’s portfolio spans key sectors of the economy, including mining, energy, infrastructure, telecommunications, agriculture, logistics, financial services and real estate, many of which require restructuring and long-term capital support.

During the year, the Fund prioritised strengthening oversight of portfolio companies, enhancing accountability frameworks and facilitating recapitalisation and strategic partnerships where necessary.

A major development was the restructuring of the Fund’s mining assets into commodity-focused subsidiaries covering gold, platinum group metals, base metals, energy, agro-minerals, frontier resources and technology metals.

The move is expected to improve operational efficiency, transparency and investor appeal, aligning Zimbabwe’s mineral asset management with international best practice.

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